Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 152.029317 174.030927 198.602928 228.170572 262.903498 302.552604 351.444715
2025-11-09 122.205696 150.840344 185.721251 231.693583 291.215039 366.391002 469.661210
2025-11-16 103.629683 134.734759 174.987373 231.586886 310.229288 417.291312 576.949867
2025-11-23 90.554907 122.664843 166.265294 230.861955 325.968398 463.804335 684.230730
2025-11-30 81.564736 114.430062 160.941909 233.063794 344.822908 516.133208 808.109732
2025-12-07 71.638261 103.418067 149.945396 224.866341 346.047684 540.851794 891.603309
2025-12-14 64.873517 96.151230 143.404127 222.225074 354.978942 578.302282 1002.344607
2025-12-21 60.428322 91.836737 140.733822 225.121690 372.967693 633.060140 1153.828373
2025-12-28 57.974487 90.313458 142.179922 234.790539 403.628584 714.522015 1372.120368
2026-01-04 55.002308 87.602931 141.308003 240.208379 427.203882 786.388685 1586.266955
2026-01-11 51.119467 82.982306 136.697469 238.304170 436.643372 832.110608 1754.306891
2026-01-18 48.888180 80.939297 136.283815 243.952239 461.317878 912.301258 2017.496401
2026-01-25 45.962197 77.736040 134.051670 247.029759 483.754890 997.188252 2328.111441
2026-02-01 43.359525 74.899008 132.267098 250.955464 509.167465 1095.170645 2705.242030
2026-02-08 40.537442 71.361360 128.750303 250.841414 525.736739 1176.271964 3063.805749
2026-02-15 37.946254 67.990918 125.165286 250.047026 540.568366 1256.308378 3446.328903
2026-02-22 35.969123 65.593960 123.216010 252.460319 563.275806 1361.258371 3941.493027
2026-03-01 33.034365 61.064816 116.514482 243.477243 556.838045 1387.981963 4196.666424
2026-03-08 30.973370 58.090132 112.711262 240.583784 565.194698 1457.348517 4622.824260
2026-03-15 29.645842 56.475399 111.585641 243.756997 589.784888 1578.938942 5285.537808
2026-03-22 29.039927 56.282590 113.466710 254.353105 636.191293 1777.502118 6331.701694
2026-03-29 28.086286 55.273445 113.453002 260.293146 670.916992 1949.280732 7356.343540
2026-04-05 26.603413 53.010641 110.417773 258.205187 682.296915 2048.158733 8116.600430